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Red222
58758.8
87667.7
16764.2
Blue246
118105.8
297639.3
589583.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185257100150200300350400222246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points51
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +24
30Coral scored#34
109Coral points121
4Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
24Processor points24
12Net points24
36Algae points48
145Total teleop169
Reef
12L4#12
14L3#20
5L2#8
8L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
222Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#23
67.72.1
60.762.8
Auto17.2
Teleop41.7
End8.9
blue by 38.1
118
#2
105.80.4
108.4108.8
Auto20.2
Teleop73.1
End12.5
Second
167
#66
64.22.1
61.663.7
Auto20.5
Teleop38.5
End5.2
blue by 19.7
83.90.4
82.482.8
Auto24.0
Teleop49.6
End10.3
Third
587
#27
58.82.1
56.758.8
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
red by 19.5
2976
#25
39.30.4
37.638.1
Auto9.0
Teleop27.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned