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Red113
272029.0
600258.2
670234.8
Blue200
874963.8
432260.1
705660.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12619650100150250300113200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+87
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points45
40Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +79
9Coral scored#23
31Coral points82
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
41Total teleop120
Reef
6L4#15
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
17Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
6Foul points6
113Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#46
58.21.1
49.047.8
Auto12.8
Teleop37.4
End7.9
blue by 5.6
8749
#15
63.80.9
57.458.3
Auto15.3
Teleop35.5
End12.9
Second
6702
#67
34.81.1
38.337.2
Auto5.5
Teleop27.9
End1.4
blue by 25.3
4322
#32
60.10.9
53.654.6
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End4.9
Third
2720
#70
29.01.1
30.929.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End8.0
blue by 31.1
7056
#30
60.10.9
60.361.2
Auto10.9
Teleop40.0
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned