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Red189
566549.7
545444.3
301565.9
Blue216
300657.5
839350.6
842942.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17313150100150200250189216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
Endgame+15
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
34Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
32Coral scored#30
115Coral points109
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
6Processor points12
28Net points20
34Algae points32
149Total teleop141
Reef
13L4#15
12L3#12
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points12
189Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#14
65.91.6
60.261.8
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.1
red by 8.4
57.54.6
49.053.6
Auto12.0
Teleop35.8
End9.8
Second
5665
#34
49.71.6
47.649.2
Auto7.4
Teleop40.4
End2.0
blue by 0.9
8393
#35
50.64.6
33.638.2
Auto9.9
Teleop35.6
End5.1
Third
5454
#50
44.31.6
43.244.8
Auto10.8
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 2.2
8429
#57
42.24.6
38.443.0
Auto12.2
Teleop26.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned