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Red188
902936.5
331068.0
45657.9
Blue189
802042.9
213777.5
58758.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163199100150250188189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave6
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
26Total auto39
Teleoperatedlevel
31Coral scored#29
110Coral points106
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
18Processor points18
8Net points12
26Algae points30
136Total teleop136
Reef
10L4#13
10L3#11
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#7
39Game pieces#42
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
188Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#47
68.01.7
62.564.2
Auto11.4
Teleop47.6
End9.0
blue by 9.5
2137
#10
77.50.1
75.775.8
Auto20.2
Teleop49.6
End7.7
Second
456
#13
57.91.7
57.859.5
Auto7.7
Teleop42.8
End7.4
blue by 0.9
587
#27
58.80.1
57.657.7
Auto12.5
Teleop38.6
End7.7
Third
9029
#42
36.51.7
31.032.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.7
End1.5
blue by 6.4
8020
#43
42.90.1
42.943.0
Auto8.0
Teleop25.3
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed