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Red135
357252.5
353723.6
148143.1
Blue110
354633.6
550543.2
437720.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140107406080120160180200135110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
93Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
135Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.1
52.452.5
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 9.4
43.20.2
41.641.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
43.10.1
43.043.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 9.5
3546
#17
33.60.2
32.132.3
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Third
3537
#20
23.60.1
23.423.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 3.4
4377
#36
20.20.2
18.618.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5