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Red124
357252.5
353723.6
148143.1
Blue127
354633.6
550543.2
437720.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140108406080100120160180200124127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
83Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#9
10L3#6
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
124Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto13.3
Teleop32.3
End6.9
red by 9.4
43.20.8
41.842.5
Auto8.5
Teleop27.3
End7.4
Second
43.10.0
43.143.0
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End2.4
red by 9.5
3546
#17
33.60.8
32.333.0
Auto7.8
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Third
3537
#20
23.60.0
23.523.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End2.2
red by 3.4
4377
#36
20.20.8
18.819.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End2.5