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Red162
496738.8
521321.2
531437.0
Blue139
607740.8
439238.4
159627.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12413780100160180200162139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
23Coral scored#24
81Coral points87
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
119Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#12
9L3#6
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
162Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
38.80.7
38.439.1
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
blue by 2.0
6077
#17
40.80.2
40.240.4
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
Second
37.00.7
36.637.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
blue by 1.4
4392
#13
38.40.2
37.938.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
Third
5213
#34
21.20.7
20.821.5
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
blue by 6.1
27.20.2
26.726.8
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4