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Red138
776843.0
1050536.1
437534.1
Blue134
554737.9
720228.1
922729.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510050150200138134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+2Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points56
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
6Processor points24
20Net points12
26Algae points36
105Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#5
8L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points0
138Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.5
42.643.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
red by 5.1
37.90.9
37.037.9
Auto4.2
Teleop26.6
End7.1
Second
36.10.5
35.736.3
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
red by 6.3
9227
#20
29.80.9
28.929.8
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
4375
#35
34.10.5
33.734.3
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3
red by 6.1
28.10.9
27.228.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End8.3