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Red100
132222.3
365554.5
659118.4
Blue156
91055.6
705645.4
150434.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8614050100150200100156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+54
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
4Coral scored#9
20Coral points43
23Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +34
10Coral scored#18
35Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
63Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#12
5L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
100Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.0
50.451.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.5
End8.0
blue by 1.2
910
#2
55.61.9
50.952.8
Auto15.9
Teleop31.9
End7.9
Second
1322
#29
22.31.0
19.620.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 23.0
45.41.9
40.342.2
Auto10.4
Teleop29.4
End5.6
Third
6591
#34
18.41.0
15.416.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 16.4
1504
#17
34.71.9
35.937.8
Auto5.0
Teleop28.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned