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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706502040801001201407350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
58Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
73Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#33
25.21.5
26.027.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
red by 0.7
7056
#22
24.50.6
25.925.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Second
18.21.5
14.215.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
blue by 1.2
19.40.6
13.813.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
Third
9771
#27
13.61.5
18.920.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 1.4
7225
#14
12.20.6
15.615.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed