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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54670204060801001203668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#8
15Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
36Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#21
28.31.3
25.023.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
blue by 12.1
40.51.2
27.929.1
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
Second
6538
#34
13.01.3
14.613.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
blue by 18.4
31.31.2
23.724.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
Third
8519
#31
11.21.3
8.16.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 3.0
7221
#15
14.21.2
5.36.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned