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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887840601001201406759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
48Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points4
67Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.7
35.835.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
red by 11.0
5066
#11
29.11.3
22.521.3
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
Second
14.40.7
16.515.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 11.4
4362
#29
25.81.3
28.927.6
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Third
308
#25
13.50.7
18.317.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
red by 1.2
7813
#39
12.21.3
12.411.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed