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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737440506080901001103980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
30Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points6
39Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
22.93.6
19.716.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 10.6
33.50.7
30.831.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
9182
#19
21.63.6
23.319.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
blue by 4.2
66
#10
25.90.7
22.923.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
Third
9771
#27
13.63.3
17.213.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 1.3
9204
#35
12.30.7
7.68.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned