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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6341020801001206036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
23Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points0
60Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#26
17.50.9
17.716.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
blue by 1.9
19.40.2
14.514.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
Second
17.20.9
18.617.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 3.5
6344
#30
13.60.2
11.010.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Third
7202
#36
15.01.0
17.316.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
red by 2.8
7813
#39
12.20.2
9.69.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed