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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60972040801201401603672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
36Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#24
19.51.7
18.717.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 26.0
45.50.9
43.943.0
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
Second
7553
#18
17.21.9
19.918.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
blue by 12.0
5066
#11
29.10.9
27.526.7
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
Third
7225
#14
12.21.7
14.713.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 1.5
6344
#30
13.60.9
10.39.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned