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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7640020601001207942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
62Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
79Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
31.40.7
28.529.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
red by 17.9
9771
#27
13.60.4
13.313.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Second
4392
#21
28.30.7
27.127.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 16.1
7813
#39
12.20.4
12.212.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
9204
#35
12.30.7
9.910.6
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
red by 3.1
9455
#37
9.20.4
12.312.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed