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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8280506070901001107242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +15
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points15
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
40Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
72Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.5
30.029.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
red by 5.5
4362
#29
25.82.7
28.525.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
Second
20.90.5
19.819.3
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
blue by 4.3
503
#33
25.22.7
28.926.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Third
18.20.5
21.721.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 3.2
7202
#36
15.02.9
15.212.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed