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Red122
722114.2
6758.5
612033.5
Blue120
365651.1
851911.2
332240.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105966080120140160122120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
64Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
122Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
58.52.3
53.555.8
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
red by 7.3
51.12.8
45.748.5
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
Second
33.52.3
32.234.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
blue by 7.0
40.52.8
34.837.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
Third
7221
#15
14.22.3
10.612.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 3.0
8519
#31
11.22.8
8.411.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned