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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715802040801001208285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
69Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
82Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#10
25.90.5
24.024.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
red by 3.0
4779
#17
22.91.7
18.620.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Second
7056
#22
24.50.5
24.625.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
red by 5.1
19.41.6
16.618.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
Third
7178
#38
11.30.5
10.310.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 3.2
14.41.6
13.815.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed