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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3761020801004758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +1
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
34Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points6
47Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8895
#32
13.30.2
13.613.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 15.5
3668
#20
28.81.0
26.925.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.3
End2.0
Second
9204
#35
12.30.2
10.610.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
blue by 1.2
308
#25
13.51.0
12.711.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
Third
7813
#39
12.20.2
12.612.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Level
7225
#14
12.21.0
13.012.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned