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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8758020408010012010492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +39
19Coral scored#12
67Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
91Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
104Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
31.42.4
29.231.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
red by 2.3
5066
#11
29.12.7
26.729.4
Auto10.2
Teleop17.4
End1.5
Second
4362
#29
25.82.4
25.828.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End2.9
red by 4.1
9182
#19
21.62.9
20.123.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
Third
20.92.4
19.321.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
red by 5.9
7202
#36
15.02.9
12.215.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned