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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925920408010012014016010141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+64Teleop
+72Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
10Coral scored#2
35Coral points8
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
73Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points12
101Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.11.5
48.549.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
red by 32.9
18.22.4
21.218.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Second
6753
#26
17.51.5
15.717.2
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 0.3
17.22.4
19.417.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Third
7221
#15
14.21.5
12.914.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 5.0
9455
#37
9.22.6
12.710.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed