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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721162040608010014016082119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
56Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
82Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.5
37.538.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End6.4
red by 0.3
40.11.0
38.239.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
Second
7660
#24
19.50.5
17.017.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
blue by 11.8
31.31.0
29.530.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
Third
6344
#30
13.60.5
9.49.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 12.2
66
#10
25.91.0
24.525.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned