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Red110
477922.9
851911.2
6758.5
Blue92
439228.3
716645.5
977113.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9795608012014011092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
46Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
18Foul points0
110Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
58.50.4
55.856.2
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
red by 13.0
45.50.6
43.043.7
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
Second
4779
#17
22.90.4
20.320.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 5.5
4392
#21
28.30.6
27.728.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Third
8519
#31
11.20.4
11.211.5
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 2.3
9771
#27
13.60.6
13.714.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed