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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4686020601001201406779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
49Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
67Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.6
18.219.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
blue by 14.0
33.50.6
34.535.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
7553
#18
17.21.7
18.119.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
blue by 8.1
503
#33
25.20.6
26.226.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.1
End0.6
Third
6538
#34
13.01.6
11.613.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 1.7
7178
#38
11.30.6
10.811.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed