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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10171406080120140160109126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
70Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points12
109Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.8
49.949.2
Auto7.6
Teleop33.9
End9.6
red by 23.9
27.21.8
23.525.3
Auto3.3
Teleop16.1
End7.8
Second
7202
#36
15.00.9
15.214.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End4.2
blue by 9.5
7056
#22
24.51.8
25.026.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Third
14.40.9
15.414.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
red by 2.2
9204
#35
12.31.8
10.412.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned