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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62872040801001201407887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
61Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
78Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#10
25.90.2
25.525.7
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End1.9
blue by 14.3
40.10.8
39.338.4
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End2.6
Second
17.20.2
17.017.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 3.8
20.90.8
21.720.9
Auto3.4
Teleop15.8
End1.8
Third
7225
#14
12.20.2
12.012.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.6
red by 3.0
9455
#37
9.20.9
10.19.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed