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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116005010015011877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
18Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
82Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points2
118Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.1
43.743.8
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End6.8
red by 17.2
4392
#21
28.30.1
28.428.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Second
31.30.1
30.630.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End7.5
red by 13.1
18.20.1
18.818.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Third
9182
#19
21.60.1
23.023.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End3.2
red by 8.4
8895
#32
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed