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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401030501506682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
66Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#17
22.91.9
20.822.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 10.6
33.50.3
35.134.8
Auto6.5
Teleop21.6
End5.3
Second
6344
#30
13.61.7
9.911.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 17.8
548
#13
31.40.3
31.631.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.4
End1.3
Third
308
#25
13.51.7
11.713.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 5.9
19.40.3
19.719.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed