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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52124010015053127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+68
Endgame+56
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +44
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points34
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
28Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points18
53Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.1
14.514.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End3.5
blue by 44.0
67
#3
58.50.3
56.256.5
Auto17.7
Teleop35.2
End5.6
Second
7221
#15
14.20.1
14.314.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 5.3
7660
#24
19.50.3
17.517.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.9
End0.8
Third
7178
#38
11.30.1
11.411.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
6753
#26
17.50.3
17.217.5
Auto2.1
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed