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Red58
361815.9
610023.8
851730.7
Blue76
612130.5
159615.9
370722.7
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90916070801001105876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+28
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
5Coral scored#13
19Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
33Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
58Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#18
30.74.3
29.325.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
red by 0.2
30.51.9
26.224.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
6100
#25
23.84.3
23.819.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.2
End3.8
red by 1.1
3707
#27
22.71.9
29.828.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
3618
#30
15.94.3
25.421.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 0.1
1596
#23
15.91.9
23.221.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed