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Red76
887323.2
521652.3
523117.7
Blue27
664210.4
71099.6
968513.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965201507627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points7
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
50Total teleop11
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
76Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.4
32.832.3
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 38.9
9685
#37
13.52.5
14.612.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Second
8873
#15
23.20.4
28.428.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
red by 12.8
6642
#29
10.42.5
18.315.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
5231
#32
17.70.4
18.818.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End0.9
red by 8.1
7109
#33
9.62.5
16.514.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed