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Red112
400339.6
20133.6
353651.5
Blue31
1058713.3
607111.4
956812.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10151015020011231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+63Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +45
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
58Total teleop13
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
112Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.53.0
29.132.2
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 38.2
13.33.5
19.415.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Second
39.63.0
28.631.6
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
red by 26.8
9568
#17
12.81.2
12.511.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
201
#7
33.63.0
27.030.1
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
red by 22.1
6071
#34
11.41.9
18.116.2
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed