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Red38
965021.0
1054714.6
653317.9
Blue68
954211.6
967321.1
571237.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41960501503868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
24Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points6
38Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9650
#10
21.00.4
8.78.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0
blue by 16.3
5712
#13
37.31.9
39.737.8
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
Second
6533
#19
17.90.7
15.414.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.5
blue by 3.2
9673
#11
21.11.9
21.920.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7
Third
14.62.2
14.917.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
red by 3.0
9542
#31
11.61.9
17.115.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned