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Red66
607111.4
967218.2
498317.0
Blue35
159615.9
954211.6
261921.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47680204060801001206635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+35Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
49Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
66Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.21.0
16.917.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End2.3
blue by 3.3
2619
#12
21.52.2
23.821.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Second
4983
#20
17.01.1
15.817.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 1.1
1596
#23
15.92.2
18.516.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
6071
#34
11.41.1
10.311.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End2.7
blue by 0.2
9542
#31
11.62.2
13.811.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed