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Red143
521652.3
603322.9
353651.5
Blue59
261921.5
967321.1
531426.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1477005010020014359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+82Teleop
+92Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +57
18Coral scored#7
64Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
92Total teleop35
Reef
9L4#2
5L3#3
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points8
143Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.5
51.051.5
Auto13.7
Teleop37.7
End1.0
red by 25.8
5314
#16
26.50.4
26.626.2
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Second
51.50.5
50.150.6
Auto12.4
Teleop30.3
End8.7
red by 29.9
2619
#12
21.50.4
21.621.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End5.3
Third
6033
#22
22.90.5
21.522.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.6
End3.7
red by 1.8
9673
#11
21.10.4
21.120.7
Auto3.6
Teleop13.7
End3.7