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Red110
240530.7
370722.7
571237.3
Blue47
20133.6
159615.9
361815.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108735015011047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+61Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +57
21Coral scored#7
77Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
91Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#3
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
110Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#13
37.30.4
37.437.8
Auto3.4
Teleop30.6
End3.3
red by 3.7
201
#7
33.60.4
33.933.5
Auto7.9
Teleop22.5
End3.2
Second
30.70.4
30.931.3
Auto4.7
Teleop23.5
End2.6
red by 14.8
3618
#30
15.90.4
16.315.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
3707
#27
22.70.4
22.923.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 6.9
1596
#23
15.90.4
16.215.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3