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Red106
535241.5
968513.5
400339.6
Blue57
887323.2
965021.0
851730.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103722040608012014016018010657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+53Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
71Total teleop35
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
106Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.3
40.440.7
Auto11.1
Teleop24.6
End5.8
red by 10.7
8517
#18
30.70.3
29.729.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End5.4
Second
39.60.3
38.638.9
Auto7.3
Teleop30.6
End1.8
red by 16.5
8873
#15
23.20.3
22.221.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End1.6
Third
9685
#37
13.50.3
12.412.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 7.5
9650
#10
21.00.3
19.919.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End2.0