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Red179
956623.9
50336.8
3377.2
Blue125
400340.6
496741.5
910626.3
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188142050100250300179125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +21
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points68
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
24Processor points6
24Net points20
48Algae points26
115Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
18Foul points2
179Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
77.20.0
70.570.5
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 35.7
4967
#10
41.50.7
51.550.8
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Second
503
#5
36.80.0
45.045.0
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End9.1
blue by 3.9
40.60.7
42.842.1
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
23.90.0
28.228.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
blue by 2.4
26.30.7
22.521.9
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned