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Red204
191870.5
3377.2
387535.1
Blue83
442240.7
956623.9
496741.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21616205010020025030035020483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+101Teleop
+121Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave3
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +69
24Coral scored#12
86Coral points43
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
134Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#7
13L3#3
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points0
204Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
77.20.8
70.571.3
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 35.7
4967
#10
41.53.9
50.846.9
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Second
70.50.8
65.266.0
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
red by 29.8
40.73.9
50.846.8
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Third
35.10.8
35.636.4
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2
red by 11.2
23.93.9
28.224.3
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed