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Red176
910626.3
924578.2
50336.8
Blue111
1042120.2
400340.6
335734.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170112050150200250176111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points17
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +54
30Coral scored#16
107Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
133Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#8
13L3#6
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
176Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.21.0
72.073.0
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 37.5
40.60.6
42.141.5
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Second
503
#5
36.81.0
45.046.0
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End9.1
red by 2.6
3357
#11
34.20.6
41.540.8
Auto10.3
Teleop22.7
End1.3
Third
26.31.0
21.922.9
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
red by 6.1
20.20.6
13.512.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed