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Red144
387535.1
335734.2
956623.9
Blue132
496741.5
910626.3
1042120.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145120050100200250144132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points77
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
24Processor points24
24Net points16
48Algae points40
102Total teleop117
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
144Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.4
36.436.9
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2
blue by 6.4
4967
#10
41.50.5
46.947.4
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Second
3357
#11
34.20.4
40.841.3
Auto10.3
Teleop22.7
End1.3
red by 7.9
26.30.5
22.923.4
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Third
23.90.4
24.324.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
red by 3.6
20.20.5
12.813.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed