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Red214
3377.2
442240.7
924578.2
Blue134
50336.8
191870.5
400340.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216161050100200250300350214134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+82Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
6Leave0
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points13
47Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +48
20Coral scored#20
71Coral points71
4Processor algae#2
12Net algae#3
24Processor points12
48Net points12
72Algae points24
143Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#8
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
214Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.21.5
73.074.5
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 7.7
70.51.3
66.064.7
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
33
#2
77.21.5
71.372.8
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 36.5
40.61.3
41.540.2
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
40.71.5
46.848.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
red by 3.9
503
#5
36.81.3
46.044.7
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned