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Red113
442240.7
496741.5
387535.1
Blue160
910626.3
400340.6
924578.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14715780100120140180113160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
16Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +28
16Coral scored#20
57Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
81Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
113Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#10
41.51.3
47.446.1
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
blue by 36.7
78.21.5
74.576.0
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Second
40.71.3
48.447.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Level
40.61.5
40.241.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
35.11.3
36.935.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2
red by 8.8
26.31.5
23.424.9
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned