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Red143
3377.2
50336.8
335734.2
Blue162
1042120.2
191870.5
956623.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214133050100150250300350143162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points19
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +31
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
6Processor points12
12Net points32
18Algae points44
98Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#11
9L3#9
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
12Foul points0
143Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
77.23.5
72.869.4
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
red by 6.7
70.52.2
64.766.9
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
503
#5
36.83.5
44.741.2
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End9.1
red by 12.9
23.92.2
24.726.9
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
Third
3357
#11
34.23.5
41.337.8
Auto10.3
Teleop22.7
End1.3
red by 14.0
20.22.2
13.415.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned