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Red199
910626.3
191870.5
3377.2
Blue156
335734.2
924578.2
496741.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174171120140160180200199156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#12
32Coral points59
41Total auto62
TeleoperatedRed +58
26Coral scored#14
92Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
132Total teleop74
Reef
11L4#9
10L3#6
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
199Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
77.22.5
69.471.9
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
blue by 1.0
78.20.7
76.075.3
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Second
70.52.5
66.969.5
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
red by 29.0
4967
#10
41.50.7
46.145.5
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Third
26.32.5
24.927.4
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
blue by 7.9
3357
#11
34.20.7
37.837.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned