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Red75
518216.7
561021.7
7425.5
Blue41
687729.3
295932.3
522714.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59912040801001201407541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#4
30Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
42Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
75Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#20
25.51.9
19.621.5
Auto2.7
Teleop15.1
End7.6
blue by 6.8
2959
#26
32.33.3
30.727.4
Auto5.5
Teleop25.9
End0.9
Second
5610
#28
21.71.7
19.321.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End7.0
blue by 7.5
6877
#22
29.33.3
28.325.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Third
5182
#30
16.71.7
18.119.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 2.1
5227
#29
14.63.3
16.413.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned