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Red71
963816.4
432513.3
592730.1
Blue86
657039.4
781118.6
495615.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66852040601001201407186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
0Processor points12
16Net points4
16Algae points16
52Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
71Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.1
27.227.2
Auto4.4
Teleop23.4
End2.3
blue by 9.3
39.40.0
37.837.8
Auto3.7
Teleop26.0
End9.7
Second
9638
#35
16.40.1
16.116.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 2.1
7811
#27
18.60.0
13.813.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.5
Third
4325
#39
13.30.1
14.114.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End3.5
blue by 2.2
4956
#31
15.60.0
20.420.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned