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Red129
262038.5
584340.3
365832.8
Blue56
421615.8
876713.5
721019.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11743010015012956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+63Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
23Coral scored#8
81Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
99Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#3
10L3#4
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
129Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.32.4
33.535.9
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End6.6
red by 20.9
7210
#37
19.30.3
15.215.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Second
38.52.4
33.636.0
Auto8.7
Teleop23.6
End6.2
red by 22.7
4216
#36
15.80.3
14.114.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
3658
#16
32.82.6
29.031.6
Auto5.3
Teleop26.6
End0.9
red by 19.3
8767
#40
13.50.3
14.915.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed