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Red39
611420.3
724812.9
780913.1
Blue96
1066623.3
652820.5
555923.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65723040506080901003996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#15
16Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
26Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
39Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6114
#14
20.32.5
22.419.9
Auto2.9
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 3.1
5559
#23
23.41.2
21.422.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Second
7809
#32
13.12.5
14.411.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 10.2
23.31.2
15.817.0
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End2.2
Third
7248
#38
12.92.5
13.310.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 7.6
6528
#11
20.51.2
16.417.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed